:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 16 0030 UTC # Prepared by the
U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA
Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr
Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest
expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp
index breakdown Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 00-03UT 1.67 1.67
5.00 (G1) 03-06UT 3.00 2.00 4.67 (G1) 06-09UT 2.67 2.00 4.00 09-12UT 2.00
2.00 3.67 12-15UT 2.00 3.00 3.00 15-18UT 1.33 3.33 3.00 18-21UT 0.67 4.00
2.67 21-00UT 1.67 4.33 3.33 Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic
storms are expected on Dec 18 due to the passage of a coronal hole high
speed stream. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for
Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale:
No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. C. NOAA
Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over
the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 Dec 16
Dec 17 Dec 18 R1-R2 20% 20% 20% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No R1
(Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active
region flare activity is forecast.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Dec 30 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 30-Jan 01 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 30-Jan 01 2026

Dec 30 Dec 31 Jan 01
00-03UT 1.33 1.67 5.00 (G1)
03-06UT 1.33 1.67 4.33
06-09UT 1.33 2.00 3.67
09-12UT 1.33 2.00 3.33
12-15UT 1.67 2.33 3.33
15-18UT 2.00 2.67 4.00
18-21UT 2.67 3.33 3.67
21-00UT 3.00 4.33 3.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected
through 31 Dec. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 01 Jan due
to recurrent solar wind features combined with potential transient
features.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 30-Jan 01 2026

Dec 30 Dec 31 Jan 01
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for a flux above the S1 (Minor) or
greater threshold due to the flaring potential of the active regions on
the visible solar disk.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Dec 29 2025 0651 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 30-Jan 01 2026

Dec 30 Dec 31 Jan 01
R1-R2 55% 55% 55%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: R1/R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely on 30-31
Dec and 01 Jan due to the flare potential of the current active regions.
There is a slight chance for isolated R3 (Strong) events during the
3-day period.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 04 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 04-Feb 06 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 04-Feb 06 2026

Feb 04 Feb 05 Feb 06
00-03UT 1.67 2.00 4.67 (G1)
03-06UT 1.67 2.00 4.00
06-09UT 1.33 1.67 3.67
09-12UT 1.33 1.33 3.67
12-15UT 1.33 1.33 3.67
15-18UT 1.33 3.00 4.00
18-21UT 1.33 4.33 4.00
21-00UT 1.67 5.00 (G1) 4.00

Rationale: G1 (Minor) storming is likely on 05-06 Feb due to the arrival
of the CME associated with the 01/2357 UTC X8.1 flare from Region 4366.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 04-Feb 06 2026

Feb 04 Feb 05 Feb 06
S1 or greater 30% 30% 30%

Rationale: The greater than 10 MeV proton flux has a chance to exceed S1 (Minor) levels over 04-06 Feb due to the high eruptive potential of
Region 4366. The risk of a proton event will increase as the region
moves into a more favorable magnetic connection point in the Suns
western hemisphere.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R3 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Feb 03 2026 1408 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 04-Feb 06 2026

Feb 04 Feb 05 Feb 06
R1-R2 80% 80% 80%
R3 or greater 40% 40% 40%

Rationale: Moderate to high solar activity is expected due to M-class
flaring (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) for the next three days with a high
chance for X-class flares (R3-Strong or greater) due to expected further activity from AR 4366.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 10 0030 UTC # Prepared by the
U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA
Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr
Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest
expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 10-Dec 12 2025 is 3.33 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 10-Dec 12 2025 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 00-03UT
2.00 1.00 3.33 03-06UT 2.00 2.00 2.00 06-09UT 3.00 2.33 2.00 09-12UT 2.00
2.33 3.00 12-15UT 2.00 2.33 2.67 15-18UT 2.00 2.33 3.00 18-21UT 3.00 2.33
3.33 21-00UT 1.33 2.67 3.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater
geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent
solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity
Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over
the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar
Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 10-Dec 12 2025 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 S1 or
greater 15% 10% 5% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or
greater solar radiation storms on 10-11 Dec. C. NOAA Radio Blackout
Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed
over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Dec 09 2025 0058 UTC. Radio
Blackout Forecast for Dec 10-Dec 12 2025 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 R1-R2 65%
65% 65% R3 or greater 15% 15% 10% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts are likely, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater
events on 10-12 Dec.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 14 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 14-Jan 16 2026

Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16
00-03UT 3.67 2.33 1.67
03-06UT 3.00 3.00 1.33
06-09UT 3.00 2.00 1.33
09-12UT 2.67 2.00 1.33
12-15UT 2.00 1.67 1.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.33
18-21UT 2.00 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 2.00 2.33 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026

Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026

Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a chance (25%) R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts on 14-16 Jan.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 29 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 29-Jan 31 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 29-Jan 31 2026

Jan 29 Jan 30 Jan 31
00-03UT 5.00 (G1) 2.67 2.67
03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 2.67 2.67
06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 2.00
09-12UT 4.00 2.33 2.00
12-15UT 3.67 2.33 1.67
15-18UT 4.00 2.33 1.33
18-21UT 3.67 2.00 2.00
21-00UT 3.33 2.33 2.33

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are expected on 29 Jan due to
CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 29-Jan 31 2026

Jan 29 Jan 30 Jan 31
S1 or greater 5% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 29-Jan 31 2026

Jan 29 Jan 30 Jan 31
R1-R2 25% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 5% 1% 1%

Rationale: A decreaseing chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts exists for the next three days.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 02 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 02-Jan 04 2026 is 6.00 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 02-Jan 04 2026

Jan 02 Jan 03 Jan 04
00-03UT 3.67 5.00 (G1) 3.67
03-06UT 3.00 6.00 (G2) 3.33
06-09UT 2.67 6.00 (G2) 2.00
09-12UT 2.67 4.67 (G1) 3.00
12-15UT 2.33 4.00 3.00
15-18UT 2.00 3.00 2.00
18-21UT 2.33 3.00 3.33
21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 4.33 3.33

Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are likely over
02-03 Jan due to anticipated influence from multiple CMEs that left the
Sun over 28-30 Dec.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 02-Jan 04 2026

Jan 02 Jan 03 Jan 04
S1 or greater 20% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar
radiation storms over 02-04 Jan due to multiple complex regions on the
solar disk.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 02-Jan 04 2026

Jan 02 Jan 03 Jan 04
R1-R2 55% 55% 55%
R3 or greater 20% 20% 20%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely over 02-04,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong), primarily due to flare potential
from Regions 4325 and 4324.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 19 0030 UTC # Prepared by the
U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA
Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr
Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest
expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 is 3.00 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21 00-03UT
3.00 2.67 1.67 03-06UT 3.00 2.67 1.33 06-09UT 2.67 2.33 1.33 09-12UT 2.00
1.67 1.33 12-15UT 1.67 1.67 1.67 15-18UT 1.33 1.33 1.33 18-21UT 1.33 2.00
1.67 21-00UT 2.67 2.00 1.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater
geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent
solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity
Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over
the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar
Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21 S1 or
greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation
storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for
radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity
and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21 R1-R2
15% 15% 15% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: There is a slight chance for
R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 20 Dec.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 23 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 23-Jan 25 2026 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 23-Jan 25 2026

Jan 23 Jan 24 Jan 25
00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 2.33
03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 2.67
06-09UT 5.67 (G2) 2.33 2.33
09-12UT 3.33 2.33 1.67
12-15UT 3.67 1.67 1.33
15-18UT 3.00 1.67 1.33
18-21UT 2.33 2.00 2.00
21-00UT 2.67 2.33 2.33

Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are expected on 23
Jan due to persistent CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
above S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 23-Jan 25 2026

Jan 23 Jan 24 Jan 25
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar
radiation storms through 25 Jan.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 23-Jan 25 2026

Jan 23 Jan 24 Jan 25
R1-R2 60% 60% 60%
R3 or greater 15% 15% 15%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, on 23-25 Jan.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 07 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 07-Feb 09 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 07-Feb 09 2026

Feb 07 Feb 08 Feb 09
00-03UT 4.00 4.67 (G1) 3.33
03-06UT 2.67 3.67 2.00
06-09UT 1.67 3.33 2.00
09-12UT 1.67 3.33 3.00
12-15UT 2.33 2.00 3.00
15-18UT 2.67 3.33 3.33
18-21UT 3.33 3.33 3.67
21-00UT 4.00 3.67 3.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 08 Feb due to the anticipated arrival of the CME associated with the 03 Feb filament
eruption, coupled with a new negative polarity CH HSS.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 07-Feb 09 2026

Feb 07 Feb 08 Feb 09
S1 or greater 25% 25% 25%

Rationale: There is a chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms on
07-09 Feb due to the magnetic complexity and dynamic of the active
regions on the visible disk.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 07-Feb 09 2026

Feb 07 Feb 08 Feb 09
R1-R2 80% 80% 80%
R3 or greater 35% 35% 35%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a
chance for R3 (Strong) or greater levels on 07-09 Feb due to the
magnetic complexity and dynamic of the active regions on the visible
disk.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 08 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 08-Jan 10 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 08-Jan 10 2026

Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10
00-03UT 3.67 2.00 3.67
03-06UT 2.67 3.33 4.00
06-09UT 2.33 5.00 (G1) 3.33
09-12UT 2.33 4.67 (G1) 3.00
12-15UT 2.33 4.00 2.33
15-18UT 2.67 3.00 2.00
18-21UT 2.33 3.00 2.33
21-00UT 3.00 3.67 2.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are anticipated on
09 Jan due to a coronal high speed stream interacting with a potential
glancing blow from a CME that left the Sun on 06 Jan.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 08-Jan 10 2026

Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for a S1 (Minor) or greater solar
radiation storm 08-10 Jan.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 08-Jan 10 2026

Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10
R1-R2 45% 45% 45%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, on 08-10 Jan.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 13 0030 UTC # Prepared by the
U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA
Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr
Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale G1). The greatest expected 3
hr Kp for Dec 13-Dec 15 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index
breakdown Dec 13-Dec 15 2025 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 00-03UT 4.33 3.67 2.33
03-06UT 4.33 3.00 2.00 06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 2.67 2.00 09-12UT 3.67 2.67 2.00
12-15UT 2.67 2.67 2.00 15-18UT 2.67 2.00 2.00 18-21UT 3.33 2.00 2.00
21-00UT 3.67 2.67 2.33 Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are
expected on 13 Dec due to ongoing CH HSS influence. B. NOAA Solar
Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed
by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level
thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 13-Dec 15 2025 Dec 13
Dec 14 Dec 15 S1 or greater 5% 5% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater
solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity
favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio
Blackout Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were
observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Dec 12 2025 0505 UTC.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 13-Dec 15 2025 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 R1-R2
55% 45% 35% R3 or greater 5% 1% 1% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts are likely on 13 Dec due to the potential of Region 4296 and
4294 near the W limb.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 17 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 17-Jan 19 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 17-Jan 19 2026

Jan 17 Jan 18 Jan 19
00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 3.67
03-06UT 4.33 3.00 3.00
06-09UT 4.00 3.00 3.00
09-12UT 3.67 3.00 3.00
12-15UT 3.33 3.67 3.00
15-18UT 3.33 3.33 3.33
18-21UT 3.67 4.67 (G1) 3.33
21-00UT 3.67 3.00 3.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely over 17-18 Jan due
to anticipated influence from a coronal hole.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 17-Jan 19 2026

Jan 17 Jan 18 Jan 19
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 17-Jan 19 2026

Jan 17 Jan 18 Jan 19
R1-R2 55% 55% 55%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 17-19 Jan.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 01 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 01-Feb 03 2026 is 1.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 01-Feb 03 2026

Feb 01 Feb 02 Feb 03
00-03UT 1.67 1.67 1.67
03-06UT 1.67 1.33 1.33
06-09UT 1.67 1.00 1.00
09-12UT 1.33 1.00 1.00
12-15UT 1.33 0.67 0.67
15-18UT 1.33 1.33 1.33
18-21UT 1.33 1.67 1.67
21-00UT 1.33 1.67 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 01-Feb 03 2026

Feb 01 Feb 02 Feb 03
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 01-Feb 03 2026

Feb 01 Feb 02 Feb 03
R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 11 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale
G2).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 11-Jan 13 2026 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 11-Jan 13 2026

Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13
00-03UT 5.33 (G1) 3.67 3.00
03-06UT 5.67 (G2) 3.00 3.67
06-09UT 5.00 (G1) 3.00 3.33
09-12UT 4.33 3.00 3.00
12-15UT 3.00 3.00 2.00
15-18UT 3.00 3.67 2.00
18-21UT 3.33 3.33 3.33
21-00UT 3.67 3.33 3.33

Rationale: G1 (Minor) and G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storms are likely
over 11 Jan due to influence of CMEs that departed the Sun on 08 Jan
combined with an anticipated CH HSS.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 11-Jan 13 2026

Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 11-Jan 13 2026

Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 11-13 Jan due primarily to the flare potential of Region
4336.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 05 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 05-Jan 07 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 05-Jan 07 2026

Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07
00-03UT 1.67 2.33 1.67
03-06UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
06-09UT 2.33 1.67 1.33
09-12UT 3.67 1.33 1.33
12-15UT 2.33 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 1.00 1.33 1.33
18-21UT 1.33 1.00 1.67
21-00UT 2.67 0.67 1.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 05-Jan 07 2026

Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There remains a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms over 05-07 Jan.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 05-Jan 07 2026

Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07
R1-R2 50% 50% 50%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 05-07 Jan.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 22 0030 UTC # Prepared by the
U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA
Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr
Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale G1). The greatest expected 3
hr Kp for Dec 22-Dec 24 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index
breakdown Dec 22-Dec 24 2025 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 00-03UT 3.67 4.67 (G1)
3.33 03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 3.67 06-09UT 5.00 (G1) 3.67 3.67 09-12UT
3.67 3.67 3.00 12-15UT 2.67 2.67 3.33 15-18UT 3.67 1.67 3.33 18-21UT 3.67
2.67 3.67 21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 3.67 Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic
storms are likely on 22-23 Dec due to CH HSS influences. B. NOAA Solar
Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed
by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level
thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 22-Dec 24 2025 Dec 22
Dec 23 Dec 24 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater
solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity
favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio
Blackout Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were
observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Dec 21 2025 1827 UTC.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 22-Dec 24 2025 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 R1-R2
25% 25% 30% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: There is a chance for R1
(Minor) or greater radio blackouts through 24 Dec.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 26 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 26-Jan 28 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 26-Jan 28 2026

Jan 26 Jan 27 Jan 28
00-03UT 3.67 2.00 4.00
03-06UT 2.67 1.67 4.67 (G1)
06-09UT 2.00 2.00 3.33
09-12UT 2.00 1.67 3.00
12-15UT 1.33 1.67 3.33
15-18UT 1.33 2.00 3.67
18-21UT 1.00 2.33 4.00
21-00UT 1.33 3.33 4.00

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely on 28 Jan due to
negative polarity CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 26-Jan 28 2026

Jan 26 Jan 27 Jan 28
S1 or greater 5% 5% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 26-Jan 28 2026

Jan 26 Jan 27 Jan 28
R1-R2 45% 40% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 1%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
over 26-28 Jan.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 10 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 10-Feb 12 2026 is 2.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 10-Feb 12 2026

Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12
00-03UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
03-06UT 2.67 1.67 2.00
06-09UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
09-12UT 1.67 1.00 1.33
12-15UT 1.67 1.33 0.67
15-18UT 0.67 1.33 1.00
18-21UT 1.67 1.00 1.67
21-00UT 2.00 1.67 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected over
10-12 Feb.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 10-Feb 12 2026

Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12
S1 or greater 25% 25% 25%

Rationale: There is a chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation
storms on 10-12 Feb due to the flare potential and location of Region
4366.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Feb 09 2026 0227 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 10-Feb 12 2026

Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12
R1-R2 65% 65% 65%
R3 or greater 25% 25% 25%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, on 10-12 Feb.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 13 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 13-Feb 15 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 13-Feb 15 2026

Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15
00-03UT 1.67 3.00 3.67
03-06UT 1.33 2.67 2.67
06-09UT 1.33 2.00 2.67
09-12UT 1.33 2.67 2.33
12-15UT 1.33 2.00 2.33
15-18UT 1.33 2.67 2.33
18-21UT 1.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)
21-00UT 1.67 3.00 5.00 (G1)

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 15 Feb due to
combined potential from a recurrent coronal hole and a passing coronal
mass ejection.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 13-Feb 15 2026

Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Feb 12 2026 0240 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 13-Feb 15 2026

Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15
R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor) radio
blackouts over 13-15 Feb due to the flare potential of multiple active
regions on the Suns visible disk.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 16 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 16-Feb 18 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 16-Feb 18 2026

Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18
00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 4.33 3.67 2.67
06-09UT 3.67 2.67 2.67
09-12UT 3.33 2.67 2.00
12-15UT 2.33 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.67 1.67 0.67
18-21UT 2.67 1.67 2.33
21-00UT 3.33 2.67 3.00

Rationale: Isolated periods of G1 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storming
are likely on 16 Feb due to positive polarity CH HSS influences with
potential weak CME enhancements as a CME from 13 Feb might pass in close proximity.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 16-Feb 18 2026

Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 16-Feb 18 2026

Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18
R1-R2 5% 5% 5%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 19 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 19-Feb 21 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 19-Feb 21 2026

Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb 21
00-03UT 3.33 3.00 2.33
03-06UT 3.67 3.00 1.67
06-09UT 2.00 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 2.33 1.33 0.67
12-15UT 2.33 1.33 1.00
15-18UT 2.00 1.67 0.67
18-21UT 3.00 2.00 1.33
21-00UT 3.67 3.00 2.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 19-Feb 21 2026

Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb 21
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 19-Feb 21 2026

Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb 21
R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be at low levels, with a slight
chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares through 21 Feb.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 22 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 22-Feb 24 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 22-Feb 24 2026

Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb 24
00-03UT 2.67 3.67 3.67
03-06UT 3.67 4.67 (G1) 3.67
06-09UT 2.67 3.67 2.67
09-12UT 1.67 3.67 2.67
12-15UT 2.67 2.67 2.00
15-18UT 2.67 2.67 1.67
18-21UT 3.67 2.67 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 3.67 2.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 23 Feb due to
effects from an anticipated coronal hole HSS.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 22-Feb 24 2026

Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb 24
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 22-Feb 24 2026

Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb 24
R1-R2 5% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 23-24 Feb.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 25 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 25-Feb 27 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 25-Feb 27 2026

Feb 25 Feb 26 Feb 27
00-03UT 3.67 3.00 2.67
03-06UT 3.67 3.67 2.67
06-09UT 3.33 2.67 2.33
09-12UT 3.00 2.33 2.33
12-15UT 3.00 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 2.00
18-21UT 2.67 2.33 2.33
21-00UT 3.67 3.00 2.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 25-Feb 27 2026

Feb 25 Feb 26 Feb 27
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 25-Feb 27 2026

Feb 25 Feb 26 Feb 27
R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 27 Feb.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 28 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
00-03UT 3.00 3.33 3.33
03-06UT 2.67 4.33 3.67
06-09UT 1.67 4.00 3.00
09-12UT 1.67 3.00 2.67
12-15UT 1.33 2.67 3.00
15-18UT 1.00 2.67 3.00
18-21UT 2.67 3.00 3.33
21-00UT 3.33 3.00 3.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 28 Feb - 02 Mar.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
00-03UT 2.00 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 1.67 3.33 2.67
06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 1.33 2.00 1.67
12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected
through 05 Mar.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
R1-R2 30% 30% 30%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 05 Mar.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
00-03UT 2.00 3.67 4.00
03-06UT 2.33 3.33 2.00
06-09UT 3.33 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 3.33 1.67 2.00
12-15UT 3.67 3.00 2.67
15-18UT 4.00 3.33 2.67
18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67
21-00UT 4.33 3.33 3.00

Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR associated with a negative
polarity coronal hole high speed stream.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 08 Mar.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 10 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 10-Mar 12 2026 is 2.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 10-Mar 12 2026

Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12
00-03UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
03-06UT 2.67 1.33 1.33
06-09UT 2.33 1.33 1.33
09-12UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
12-15UT 1.00 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 1.00 1.33 1.67
18-21UT 1.67 1.67 1.33
21-00UT 2.00 1.67 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 10-Mar 12 2026

Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 10-Mar 12 2026

Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 10-12 Mar.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)